Study

Name of the study	Untersuchungen zur Energiestrategie Brandenburgs
Author, Institution	Elisa Gaudchau, Birgit Schachler, Berit Müller, Reiner Lemoine Institut
Contact (e-mail)	-
Client	Bündnis 90 / Die Grünen (Landesverband Brandenburg)
Source of funding	private
Citation reference	-
Citation doi	-
Aim	a sustainable energy supply in Brandenburg
New aspects	-
Spatial / Geographical coverage	the german federal states Berlin and Brandenburg
Time frame	2030
target year
transformation path
Modeled energy sectors	electricity, heat
Modeled demand sectors	households, industry, commercial sector
Economic (behavioural) rationale	single fictive decision-maker with perfect knowledge (perfect foresight optimization)
Technologies included	PV, wind, biomass, biogas, solar thermal, heat pump, gas, coal, oil, CHP, electricity, gas, heat
Economic focuses included	-
Social focuses included	-
Endogenous variables	usage of powerplants, import, export (timeseries)
Sensitivities
Technologies included	hour

Empirical Data

Exogenous time series used	climate, load-curves
Technical data + usage	https://openenergy-platform.org/dataedit/view/scenario/abbb_simulation_parameter
Social data	-
Economical data	-
Ecological data	CO2 emissions of the transformer/fuels (CO2-emissions are limited with the political goal)
Pre-Processing	demand data from 2010 is scaled with expacted demand in 2030 (own assumptions contrary to ES2030) (more pre-processing described in study)
Name of the Scenario	Untersuchungen zur Energiestrategie Brandenburgs (appBBB_gruene2030)

Assumptions

Energy savings	13% until 2025
Potential energy saving	not estimated
Emission reductions	78% until 2025
Share RE (heat sector)	not estimated
Share RE (mobility sector)	not estimated
Share RE (power sector)	not estimated
Share RE (total energy supply)	not estimated
Cost development	capex, opex, constant
Technological innovations	spread of electromobility, heat pumps and solar thermal heat;
Potential wind	other, potential wind other text
Potential solar electric	goal of "Energiestrategie 2030"
Potential solar thermal	goal of "Energiestrategie 2030"
Potential biomass	goal of "Energiestrategie 2030"
Potential geothermal	other, potential geothermal othertext
Potential hydro power	-
Social developement	-
Economic development	20 TWh export
Development of environmental aspects	-
Post-processing
Further assumptions for post-processing

Results

Uncertainty assessment	-
Robustness	multiple simulations with similar input data
Comparability / Validation	-
Conclusions	With the new assumptions for energy savings and export, which seem to be more realistic, Brandenburg has lots of not needed power capacities. The authors advise the shutdown of the lignite power plants.

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